ISLAMABAD : The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast that Pakistan’s economic growth rate is likely to remain at 3.6% for the fiscal year 2025-26, which is lower than the government’s projected estimate of 4.2%.In its World Economic Outlook Report 2025, the IMF stated that global inflation is expected to remain relatively low; however, economic challenges persist for Pakistan.
The IMF raised Pakistan’s GDP growth estimate for the outgoing fiscal 2024–25 by 0.1 percentage point, bringing it to 2.7%. This aligns closely with the Finance Division’s estimate, published in its June 2025 Monthly Economic Outlook, which placed real GDP growth for FY25 at 2.68%.The IMF report for fiscal 2025-26 indicates a potential failure to meet the government’s target of 4.2%.
Government sources suggest that this possible lower growth rate could be due to global and internal economic issues and prevailing uncertainty.The IMF also revised slightly upward global economic growth to be 3% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026. The 2025 forecast is 0.2 percentage points higher than the April 2025 WEO estimate, while the 2026 figure is up by 0.1 percentage point.
IMF forecasts lower growth for Pakistan than govt target
Published: July 30, 2025 | Updated 4 weeks ago
IMF forecasts lower growth for Pakistan than govt target
Published: July 30, 2025 | Updated 4 weeks ago
ISLAMABAD : The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast that Pakistan’s economic growth rate is likely to remain at 3.6% for the fiscal year 2025-26, which is lower than the government’s projected estimate of 4.2%.In its World Economic Outlook Report 2025, the IMF stated that global inflation is expected to remain relatively low; however, economic challenges persist for Pakistan.
The IMF raised Pakistan’s GDP growth estimate for the outgoing fiscal 2024–25 by 0.1 percentage point, bringing it to 2.7%. This aligns closely with the Finance Division’s estimate, published in its June 2025 Monthly Economic Outlook, which placed real GDP growth for FY25 at 2.68%.The IMF report for fiscal 2025-26 indicates a potential failure to meet the government’s target of 4.2%.
Government sources suggest that this possible lower growth rate could be due to global and internal economic issues and prevailing uncertainty.The IMF also revised slightly upward global economic growth to be 3% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026. The 2025 forecast is 0.2 percentage points higher than the April 2025 WEO estimate, while the 2026 figure is up by 0.1 percentage point.