Let us comprehensively study the shifting global order in the context of the decline of US hegemony and the rise of multipolarity with emphasis on China, India, Russia, and Europe. It addresses the challenges to the US-led post-Cold War world order, focusing on China’s growing influence, India’s strategic balancing, Russia’s defiance of US interests, and Europe’s push for greater autonomy. Additionally, the policies of the Trump administration, which are described as speeding up the decline of the US’s global influence and enabling a transition to a multipolar world, form the key elements of the argument. China’s rise and global influence cannot be ignored at all. China’s assertiveness, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region, and its expansion through initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), artificial islands, and its participation in non-Western institutions like BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), signals its challenge to the US’s global leadership. The US’s response, through initiatives like QUAD and AUKUS, seeks to contain China’s rise but does not directly confront it militarily, as China strategically avoids such conflicts. India’s balancing act is no less important. India plays a critical role in the shifting dynamics, maintaining relations with both China and the US. India’s strategic autonomy and economic advantage make it unlikely to align fully with US interests, especially at the expense of its ties with China and Russia. Russia’s opposition to US hegemony is another element. Russia seeks to challenge US dominance through actions like its invasion of Ukraine, strategic alliances with China and Iran, and its efforts to assert influence in the Mediterranean and Africa. Trump’s policies, which at times seem less confrontational with Russia, complicate the dynamics further. We cannot close our eyes to Europe’s drive for autonomy. In the face of US unpredictability, especially under Trump’s leadership, European nations are increasingly looking for autonomy in security and defense, seeking diversification of their economic ties, and fostering stronger connections with China. Middle Eastern dynamic forces are also working. US policies, especially its unwavering support for Israel, have pushed Middle Eastern nations toward China and Russia, while Trump’s policies in the region, particularly his proposed solution for Gaza, have been widely criticized. Finally yet important is the global implications of Trump’s policies. We seriously think that Trump’s approach, including his withdrawal from international organizations, could erode the international system that the US helped build after World War II. This could lead to further undermining the US’s global standing and contribute to the rise of a more multipolar world. Trump’s presidency, with its America First approach, is disruptive to many of the institutions. His skepticism of multilateralism, withdrawal from agreements like the Paris Climate Accord and the Iran nuclear deal, and confrontational trade policies with allies and adversaries alike made many question the future of these global frameworks. His unpredictability and disregard for longstanding diplomatic norms arguably intensified existing divisions, especially within NATO and with the European Union. The institutions and norms like the United Nations, NATO, and the World Trade Organization are still in place, but their effectiveness has been challenged particularly as global power balances shift. Let us conclude the world is moving away from a US-dominated order, and that the continuation of such policies as exemplified by a potential second Trump administration will accelerate the global shift toward multipolarity, diminishing the US’s relative power. This scenario provides a nuanced understanding of how global political dynamics are evolving and how various countries are positioning themselves within this new world order. It highlights the complexities of international relations in the 21st century, where multiple powers, including China, India, Russia, and Europe, are vying for influence and challenging US hegemony in different ways.
