Obscurity shrouds EP

February 5, 2019

Facts indicate that the European voters’ propensity for participating in the 2019 elections for the European Parliament (EP) on 23-26 May has diminished a great deal. The anti-European, anti-migration movements in the European Union are increasing day by day as a result of the financial, economic and migration crisis.  The next European Parliament will be formed after the UK leaves the EU in March, and the numbers of MEPs will be reduced to 705 from currently 751. The remaining 27 seats is therefore to be redistributed between members. The European political viewpoint has gone through important changes over the last five years.  Such shifts will be generally reflected in the next European Parliament as well, and is going to influence European policymaking. Poll-based Calculations based on recent national polls, show a loss of EP seats for most centrist pro-European groups and perceptible gain for anti-EU alliances. Polls point out that the Christian Democrats would continue to be the major group in the EP.  Socialists and Democrats would face the heaviest losses. The liberal ALDE could possibly gain depending on whether French President Macron’s En Marche will join the alliance. The far-right ENF could gain the most and increase its share of seats. Reinforced EU parties would have a considerable influence on policymaking in the EU over the next five years. Anti-EU parties’ closer cooperation could escalate intricacy in the EP. Europe’s Nationalist parties recognize well that in the event of the incapability of the old European parties, comprising socialists, social democrats, and conservatives to resuscitate public participation in the 2019 European Parliamentary elections, the opposition front plus the opponents of the United Europe and the Eurozone will find it easier to win this political battle. Over the past few years, far-right movements have become lively players in countries like Austria, Germany, Sweden, and France. Presently, one of the key worries of European authorities is the influence of the European Parliamentary elections on the restructuring of the right-wing extremists in the EU member states. If nationalists can win European parliamentary elections, they will be able to play a most important role in determining the political future of the European countries. In this case, there is no assurance that the traditional and pro-EU parties in countries such as Germany and France will endure. Certainly, European politicians such as the German Chancellor Angela Merkel, and the French President Emmanuel Macron, and senior European officials such as Jean-Claude Juncker, will seek to capitalize on public participation in the European Parliamentary election. In this manner, they try to inhibit the nationalists from standing high above others in the European Parliament. Under such conditions, the fight between old-fashioned parties and anti-Euro movements in Europe is worth noticing.

Reinforced EU parties would have a considerable influence on policymaking in the EU over the next five years.

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