Following the recent US-brokered ceasefire, there is a small window of opportunity for Pakistan and India to reassess the trajectory of their relationship. While the guns have momentarily fallen silent, peace remains fragile. The post-conflict atmosphere demands maturity and foresight from both sides — qualities that have often been overshadowed by mutual suspicion and nationalist fervour.
Though US President Donald Trump’s light-hearted suggestion that both nations should “go out and have a nice dinner together” was clearly metaphorical, the underlying message remains vital: dialogue must resume. Yet, meaningful dialogue cannot be based on illusion or convenience. Nearly eight decades of mistrust cannot be erased with smiles or summits, especially when aggressive rhetoric continues to dominate the political discourse.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent speech — laced with combative undertones — suggests that New Delhi is positioning itself for a more hawkish stance. His declaration of a “new normal” involving pre-emptive military strikes against alleged terrorist targets in Pakistan is a deeply troubling precedent. It may play well domestically, especially in the face of criticism over foreign involvement in defusing tensions, but it risks dragging the entire South Asian region into an endless spiral of hostility.
If Mr. Modi insists on bilateralism — rejecting third-party mediation as seen with Trump’s involvement — then India must honour its own commitment to the Simla Agreement of 1972. That accord, signed by leaders of both nations, explicitly states that neither side shall unilaterally alter the situation until a final resolution is reached. By unilaterally revoking Article 370 and changing the status of held Kashmir, the Indian government has not only violated this principle but has also rendered the prospects for peace more distant.
Furthermore, any meaningful dialogue on terrorism must be two-sided. If India expects to focus solely on terrorism originating from Pakistani soil, it must also be prepared to address its own alleged involvement in destabilising acts within Pakistan. An honest and comprehensive approach to security is essential.
The Kashmir issue remains central to lasting peace. India’s refusal to discuss the full scope of this internationally recognised dispute undermines all efforts to move forward. It is imperative that both countries return to the negotiation table with a willingness to confront uncomfortable truths and chart a course grounded in international law and mutual respect.
As a confidence-building measure, India should also reaffirm its commitment to the Indus Waters Treaty. Water is a lifeline, and any attempts to withhold Pakistan’s rightful share would further inflame tensions and undermine regional stability.
South Asia cannot afford a ‘new normal’ built on provocation. What is needed is a renewed commitment to dialogue, restraint, and reconciliation — before the region is consumed by another crisis.
